Saturday 23 February 2013

Revealed: CORD is more popular than JUBILEE..What Ms Ireri and Tom Wolf of Ipsos Synovate Did Not Disclose

Revealed: CORD is more popular than JUBILEE..What Ms Ireri and Tom Wolf of Ipsos Synovate Did Not Disclose

Revealed: What Ms Ireri and Tom Wolf of Ipsos Synovate Did Not Disclose
By: Tom Sonko
This is a slide extracted from page 37 of the Opinion polls presentation by Ipsos Synovaye on Friday, the poll results gave Uhuru 44.80% against Raila 44.40%.   The slide is crucial as it bears the statics of the fundamenta question; “who the respondents will vote for”. How Wolf forgot this is beyond comprehension!
For ease of reading -especially for mibile users here below are the figures.
1. Central – Uhuru 88.10%, Raila 6.40%, Mudavadi 0.90%
2. Coast – Uhuru 18.30%, Raila 73.00%, Mudavadi 0.80%
3. Eastern – Uhuru 41.80%, Raila 52.70%, Mudavadi 1.20%
4. Nairobi – Uhuru 39.60%, Raila 51.90%, Mudavadi 2.70%
5. N. Eastern – Uhuru 37.90%, Raila 44.10%, Mudavadi 2.80%
6. Nyanza – Uhuru 9.80%, Raila 83.80%, Mudavadi 1.30%
7. R. Valley – Uhuru 69.00%, Raila 23.30%, Mudavadi 3.30%
8. Western – Uhuru 3.40%, Raila 53.60%, Mudavadi 34.60%
The True Final Result
Uhuru Kenyatta 41.37%; Raila Odinga 52.24%; Mudavadi 6.40%;

Friday 22 February 2013

UHURU, RUTO face DIFFICULTIES in their BACKYARDS

UHURU, RUTO face DIFFICULTIES in their BACKYARDS


DEPUTY Prime Minister Uhuru Kenyatta and his running mate William Ruto are both facing complications in their strongholds in the run-up to the March 4 election.

In central Kenya Uhuru is facing difficulties in 14 constituencies in Laikipia, Nyeri, Muranga, Nyandarua and parts of Kiambu where the locals have clearly told him that they will not accept a TNA "six piece vote."

TNA has been urging voters to pick TNA for all six slots on the ballot paper: country representatives, women Representatives, MPs, governors and president.
But many locals have openly said they will vote for Uhuru for president and candidates of their choice for other positions. Assistant minister Mwangi Kiunjuri's party GNU is giving TNA sleepless nights because it has fielded some strong candidates.

"We are not fighting Uhuru and his party but all we are asking is that let the people be given choices because after all we are all in Jubilee," said Kiunjuri yesterday.
Other parties with strong candidates but which are still campaigning for Uhuru’s presidency are Narc, Mazingira and Saba Saba Asili. For Ruto, the resurgence of retired President Moi's party Kanu is complicating matters.

Moi is sponsoring various candidates in Rift Valley, some of whom have a real chance of winning against Ruto's URP candidates. "This myth that Ruto has Rift Valley locked is a myth," said Gideon Moi, son of the former president, who is running for senator of Baringo.
Ruto was booed in parts of Nakuru and Baringo on Tuesday and Wednesday after he asked for a "six piece" vote. So serious is the threat for TNA in Central Province that Uhuru has initiates talks with GNU leader Kiunjuri with a promise to co-opt him and his party into the government if Jubilee wins the March 4 election.

On Wednesday night, Uhuru and Ruto held a strategy meeting with TNA candidates at the Mount Kenya Safari Club in Nanyuki before campaigning yesterday.

Candidates who decamped from TNA after the shambolic TNA nominations have turned out to be a headache as Uhuru tries to strengthen the party in and outside Parliament.
Yesterday Nairobi TNA senator candidate Mike Sonko claimed that foreigners are funding smaller parties so that TNA Uhuru does not get enough MPs and senators in Parliament.
He alleged that they want to weaken Uhuru in Parliament so that it is easy to move a motion in Parliament to remove him from office in case he wins the next election.

“We know there are some white men who are funding these smaller parties to deny our presidential candidate members in parliament and in senate. I want you people of Nyeri to reject those smaller parties," he said.

"These plans are meant to remove Uhuru from power two weeks after he is sworn in,” said Sonko during a rally in Nyeri to popularize TNA.

Mukurwe-ini TNA parliamentary candidate Kabando wa Kabando said voters in Nyeri should go for a six suit piece to ensure Uhuru controls Parliament.

Nairobi TNA woman representative candidate Rachel Shebesh also claimed that some foreign countries want to ensure a motion to remove Uhuru from office is tabled immediately after he is sworn in. Crowds shouted down attempts by Ruto to campaign for URP candidates at rallies this week.

Calls for six piece voting were opposed at rallies in Kuresoi and Kabartonjo on
Tuesday and Rongai and Marigat on Wednesday, as Ruto tried to campaign for outgoing Kuresoi MP Zakayo Cheruiyot, his Rongai counterpart Luka Kigen and Baringo county senator candidate Bishop Jackson Kosgei.
 Courtesy of The Star..

US government renews its stand on Kenyan POLITICS..WE WILL WORK WITH WHOEVER WINS

  US government renews its stand on Kenyan POLITICS..WE WILL WORK WITH WHOEVER WINS


  United States of America ambassador to Kenya Robert F Godec has said his government will work with whoever wins the March 4th general election.
Speaking on Thursday in Nairobi’s Kibera slums, the US envoy reiterated President Obama’s statement that America would not take sides in Kenya’s elections.

He said his government respects and will continue respecting the choice of Kenyans for the sake of peace and unity in the country.

Godec said the US planned to use its extensive youth network in the country to campaign for peaceful polls.

The ambassador said he would visit more than 25 youth Saccos supported by the US to hear about their needs and at the same time urge them to promote peace.

He said he will meet more than 1 million youth to make them part of the peace process before the March 4th general election.

“I will be holding meetings to talk directly to the Kenyan youth, and to listen to their needs and the few I have met so far, want a peaceful election,” Godec said.

The man who wrote the ‘MUNGIKI LETTER’ is arrested in KIBERA, Nairobi...

The man who wrote the ‘MUNGIKI LETTER’ is arrested in KIBERA, Nairobi...






















News just in indicates that police have today arrested a man who allegedly sent a ‘poison-pen letter’ letter to threaten Chief Justice Willy Mutunga and other judges in an attempt to sway the ruling in an integrity case against the Jubilee pair of Uhuru Kenyatta and William Ruto.


The suspect who police arrested today reportedly operates a cyber café in Kibera. His name is yet to be made public. The suspect will be arraigned in court later today.

The letter addressed to the CJ was purportedly written by a group calling itself Mungiki Veterans Group/Kenya Sovereignty Defense Squad.

EXPOSED!!! A SECRET DEVIL WORSHIP WEBSITE WHERE YOU CAN SELL YOUR SOUL TO THE DEVIL IN OPERATION, KENYA

EXPOSED!!! A SECRET DEVIL WORSHIP WEBSITE WHERE YOU CAN SELL YOUR SOUL TO THE DEVIL IN OPERATION, KENYA


                                                                                                         COURTESY OF NAIROBI EXPOSED
EXPOSED!!!

A SECRET DEVIL WORSHIP WEBSITE WHERE YOU CAN SELL YOUR SOUL TO THE DEVIL IN OPERATION, KENYA


so we at NE recieved this from an insider who only allowed us in with promise of keeping all the contents secret. conditions being i dont quote out the web dormain and not mention any name. the intention was to let me know that alot is running and going around. to give you a sneak preview a click on the website the first appearance will give you chills.

The theme colour of the web is RED and BLACK with devilish symbols.(the pic included here isnt from tat site but google)
Anyway to give you a sneak peak of how it looks since i wasnt allowed to take a screenshot here is the lay out and the contents ive copy pasted:




SELL YOUR SOUL !!

 
	

"The bearer of this note hereby assumes full ownership of the soul originally belonging to the undersigned, once conditions are met"

Terms and conditions are a  legally binding contract, let it be known on this date: 1/22/2013

The applicant or seller of the soul shall relinquish the ownership of their mortal soul upon death for eternity.  By virtue of this agreement I understand that I will be erase from the Book Of Life and entered into the Black Book Of Death.  This Pact, binds me in a manner that is irrevocable and I agree to fully surrender my soul unconditionally. I being of sound mind and body fully understand the consequences of signing this contract and I have proceeded willfully, freely and voluntarily.

 

 
	

*REQUIRED -  Your Full Name:___________  
	

 
  	
*REQUIRED -  Your Email: ____________  	
 
  	*REQUIRED -  Your Favorite Sin:   	
 
  	
*OPTIONAL -  Your Phone: ________________  	
 
  	
*OPTIONAL -  Upload A Picture of Yourself:  
      	
  	

*REQUIRED SELECT ONE:

 
	
Option 1: I DESIRE TO BESTOW YOU MY SOUL FOR FREE.

Option 2:   I DESIRE TO SELL FOR  ksh50000000.00 CASH NOW.


Option 3: I DESIRE TO AUCTION IT OFF TO THE HIGHEST BIDDER.

Option 4:  OTHER THAN MONEY OR IMMORTALITY.


	

I DESIRE:_________________(state what you want the devil to do for you)

 
  	

*REQUIRED -  Your Digital Signature:  
	
	

    

 

	

WARNING!! - Do not attempt to sell another person's soul other than your own. This contract only applies to your own soul. For security purposes we have recorded your Computer Name and Computer IP Address, in other words we know who your are and will track you down. Deceivers who knowingly enter false information will be subjected to walk the earth without a mortal soul and be prosecuted.        

*********END************


NE is informed the website has been operational for sometimes and many people have already sent requests and bids. selling their souls to the devil.and many still doing. so we at NE recieved this from an insider who only allowed us in with promise of keeping all the contents secret. conditions being i dont quote out the web dormain and not mention any name. the intention was to let me know that alot is running and going around. to give you a sneak preview a click on the website the first appearance will give you chills.

The theme colour of the web is RED and BLACK with devilish symbols.(the pic included here isnt from tat site but google)
Anyway to give you a sneak peak of how it looks since i wasnt allowed to take a screenshot here is the lay out and the contents ive copy pasted:




SELL YOUR SOUL !!




"The bearer of this note hereby assumes full ownership of the soul originally belonging to the undersigned, once conditions are met"

Terms and conditions are a legally binding contract, let it be known on this date: 1/22/2013

The applicant or seller of the soul shall relinquish the ownership of their mortal soul upon death for eternity. By virtue of this agreement I understand that I will be erase from the Book Of Life and entered into the Black Book Of Death. This Pact, binds me in a manner that is irrevocable and I agree to fully surrender my soul unconditionally. I being of sound mind and body fully understand the consequences of signing this contract and I have proceeded willfully, freely and voluntarily.






*REQUIRED - Your Full Name:___________




*REQUIRED - Your Email: ____________

*REQUIRED - Your Favorite Sin:


*OPTIONAL - Your Phone: ________________


*OPTIONAL - Upload A Picture of Yourself:



*REQUIRED SELECT ONE:



Option 1: I DESIRE TO BESTOW YOU MY SOUL FOR FREE.

Option 2: I DESIRE TO SELL FOR ksh50000000.00 CASH NOW.


Option 3: I DESIRE TO AUCTION IT OFF TO THE HIGHEST BIDDER.

Option 4: OTHER THAN MONEY OR IMMORTALITY.




I DESIRE:_________________(state what you want the devil to do for you)




*REQUIRED - Your Digital Signature:









WARNING!! - Do not attempt to sell another person's soul other than your own. This contract only applies to your own soul. For security purposes we have recorded your Computer Name and Computer IP Address, in other words we know who your are and will track you down. Deceivers who knowingly enter false information will be subjected to walk the earth without a mortal soul and be prosecuted.

*********END************


NE is informed the website has been operational for sometimes and many people have already sent requests and bids. selling their souls to the devil.and many still doing.

COURTESY OF NAIROBI EXPOSED

Former US envoy denounces Johnnie Carson on Kenya poll… JOHNNIE CARSON was just THREATENING KENYANS not to vote for UHURU KENYATTA..

Former US envoy denounces Johnnie Carson on Kenya poll… JOHNNIE CARSON was just THREATENING KENYANS not to vote for UHURU KENYATTA..


The woman who held the State Department’s top Africa post prior to Ambassador Johnnie Carson denounced on Wednesday his recent warning to Kenyan voters of possible “consequences” stemming from their choice of president in the March 4 election.

“I am troubled by Johnnie Carson’s statement that is essentially meddling in Kenya’s election,” declared Jendayi Frazer, who served as the Bush administration’s assistant secretary of state for African affairs from 2005 to 2009.

“It is very reckless and irresponsible, given that the election is very close, for us to try to intervene in Kenya’s election decision,” Ms Fraser added.

“We should not be threatening Kenyans about their choice by pointing to an ICC case that is not proven.”

“I think the ICC case against Uhuru Kenyatta is a weak one based on hearsay,” Ms Fraser added.

Speaking at a Washington think tank forum on Kenya’s election, Ms Frazer questioned the ICC’s legitimacy, saying the court is “a very manipulated institution, particularly by the West.”

Asked at the forum how she would respond to a Kenyatta victory if she were still a senior State Department official, Ms Frazer replied that the US government “should continue to work with the Kenyan government until the point somebody is tried and convicted.”
“I would be very pragmatic,” she said, noting that the United States is not a signatory to the treaty that established the International Criminal Court.


Ms Frazer added that the US has consistently maintained contact with Sudan President Omar al Bashir since his indictment by the ICC in 2008 on charges of war crimes.

“Even if the Kenyan people vote for Uhuru to be president, I’m positive the US administration will deal with him,” Ms Frazer said. She noted in this context that Secretary of State John Kerry had engaged in diplomacy with Sudan’s leadership as an emissary of President Obama.

Unbelievable: NEW OPINION POLL PUTS UHURU KENYATTA AHEAD OF RAILA ODINGA...See for yourself...

Unbelievable: NEW OPINION POLL PUTS UHURU KENYATTA AHEAD OF RAILA ODINGA...See for yourself...


 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
NEW SYNOVATE poll shows Uhuru Kenyatta ratings surge to 44.8%, higher than Raila Odinga's 44.4%. Mudavadi 5.2%, Kenneth 1.6%, Karua 0.8%.
With just nine days to go to the March 4th elections, a new poll by Ipsos Synovate has shown that the Jubilee alliance flag bearer Uhuru Kenyatta has overtaken CORD’s Raila Odinga in terms of popularity with the electorate.

According to the poll, if elections were held today Uhuru would win with 44.8% of the vote while Raila would follow closely behind with 44.4% of the vote.

This latest poll, besides resting the argument about whether or not there will be a runoff, gives credence to the belief that a win in the March 4th election could be as slim as less than half a million votes.

The Ipsos poll also shows that the rest of the competition is trailing Uhuru and Raila by quite a distance. Musalia Mudavadi leads this chasing pack with followed by Peter Kenneth with 1.6%.

In terms of coalitions, Jubilee leads with Jubilee 45.1% followed by CORD with 44%.

The poll also shows that the ICC question is the biggest factor preventing Kenyans from voting for Uhuru with 56% of Kenyans saying that they don’t think he and his running mate William Ruto can run the country effectively while still having to attend trail sessions at the Hague.

On the same issue, 48% of Kenyans say that statements by foreign diplomats on Uhuru and Ruto could sway the elections.

SHAME..NJERU GITHAE SLEPT WITH HIS LATE SONS GIRLFREND .This made the son commit SUICIDE

SHAME..NJERU GITHAE SLEPT WITH HIS LATE SONS GIRLFRIEND .This made the son commit SUICIDE



 Have you ever wondered why Githae lost his bid for TNA's Kirinyaga County governor’s spot to a little known newcomer Joseph Ndathi, former Foreign Secretary at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs? Well sources down in Kirinyaga County say that it is because of the sins of the fathers.

At the time when the news about the suicide hit the airwaves, a lot people wondered why the son of a Finance Minister would take his life. What was he lacking?

 The real reason behind the suicide is that the minister had been caught by his 23-year-old late son having sex with his girlfriend in the comfort of their living room. 

That incident had driven the late Brian Njeru Karanga too way crazy to the extent of taking his life. He could not live with the thought in his mind. How could his own father do that? The betrayal by his father and girlfriend was a double tragedy.

In light of that fact,  the people of Kirinyaga county could not stand such a person as their governor. The act was and is still a taboo in not only the Kikuyu community but also a taboo among all communities in Kenya. So they failed him terribly. This was inaproapriate and unacceptable.

Ndathi garnered 39,103 votes against Githae’s 29,532 following the completion of the final tally.
 A 10 thousand difference in votes.

According to the family spokesperson, Dr. Peter Githae, the circumstances surrounding the death still remain unclear. He said that the news was very shocking to both family and friends and called for respect to the mourners until the post mortem results were out.
Up to now the reasons for his action have not yet been established and the police by now have given up investigating the matter.

The late Brian was the third born of the Hon. Githae and died at the age of 23 years.
At the time of his death he was a fourth year student at the University of Nairobi (UoN) where he was pursuing a Bachelors degree in Computer Science. His body was found in their Runda Home on the morning of Thursday 17th May,2012 and it was alleged that he had committed suicide.
Ministers and Members of Parliament come together
with the bereaved to offer their Final respect to Brian little did they know about the secret reason of the boy’s suicide.

RAILA ODINGA will beat UHURU KENYATTA hands down in a runoff – IPSOS/ Synovate

RAILA ODINGA will beat UHURU KENYATTA hands down in a runoff – IPSOS/ Synovate


  A new poll by pollster Ipsos Synovate has predicted a comfortable win for CORD Presidential candidate Raila Odinga in a runoff election that seems more likely the closer we get to the March 4th election date.

According to the poll, Raila would win the runoff election with 29% more with his rival Uhuru Kenyatta of the Jubilee alliance adding just 12% of the total vote.

With the Ipsos poll saying that 37% of Kenyans are still undecided on how they will vote in the runoff, Raila should not count his chickens yet. There is still a lot to play for.

In a thorough survey, the Ipsos poll has also identified the counties which Raila and Uhuru will carry without difficulty in the election. The poll says Raila can rely on the support of 19 counties while Uhuru has 20 counties behind him.

According to poll the four counties that are up for grabs are Kajiado, Nairobi, Kakamega and Samburu.

More to follow.

Thursday 21 February 2013

8-year-Old Boy Marries 61-Year-Old Woman In Zimbabwe (PHOTO) Strange wedding About 100 people were witness to a most unusual wedding at the weekend. The bride was 61 years old and the groom was an eight-year-old boy! Both families were present at the wedding of Sanele Masilela (8) and Helen Shabangu (61) and the bride's husband and her five children were also at the wedding in South Africa. The boy's aunt, Patience Masilela (46), explained why the wedding took place. She said: "The boy was named after his late grandfather who never had a white wedding, so the ancestors told the boy to get married and he chose Helen to be his bride. The family took his desire to get married very seriously. They paid for the bride in March last year and spent a lot on the wedding because they believed it was what the ancestors wanted." The bride said: "I'm married and have five kids of my own, but I know that this is what the ancestors wanted – and now they are happy. It is a ritual. We are just playing now, but it is a sign that he will get married one day." The young groom said: "I told my mother that I wanted to get married because I really did want to. I chose her because I love her and I'm happy that I married her – but I will go to school and study hard. When I'm older I will marry a lady my own age." The bride's long-time husband, Alfred Shabangu (65), said that he never had a problem with her marrying the boy because he too knew that it was what the ancestors wanted. My kids and I are happy. We don't have any problems with it," he said. However, some community members said they were shocked. One woman said: "How can a family go this far for the ancestors? It shows that people do take messages from the ancestors seriously." This was a not a legal marriage – it was only done for ritual purposes. The happy couple sealed their marriage with a kiss. newsdzezimbabwe

8-year-Old Boy Marries 61-Year-Old Woman In Zimbabwe (PHOTO)



Strange wedding
About 100 people were witness to a most unusual wedding at the weekend.

The bride was 61 years old and the groom was an eight-year-old boy! Both families were present at the wedding of Sanele Masilela (8) and Helen Shabangu (61) and the bride's husband and her five children were also at the wedding in South Africa.

The boy's aunt, Patience Masilela (46), explained why the wedding took place.

She said: "The boy was named after his late grandfather who never had a white wedding, so the ancestors told the boy to get married and he chose Helen to be his bride. The family took his desire to get married very seriously. They paid  for the bride in March last year and spent a lot on the wedding because they believed it was what the ancestors wanted."

The bride said: "I'm married and have five kids of my own, but I know that this is what the ancestors wanted – and now they are happy. It is a ritual. We are just playing now, but it is a sign that he will get married one day."

The young groom said: "I told my mother that I wanted to get married because I really did want to. I chose her because I love her and I'm happy that I married her – but I will go to school and study hard. When I'm older I will marry a lady my own age."

The bride's long-time husband, Alfred Shabangu (65), said that he never had a problem with her marrying the boy because he too knew that it was what the ancestors wanted. My kids and I are happy. We don't have any problems with it," he said.

However, some community members said they were shocked.

One woman said: "How can a family go this far for the ancestors? It shows that people do take messages from the ancestors seriously."

This was a not a legal marriage – it was only done for ritual purposes. The happy couple sealed their marriage with a kiss.


newsdzezimbabwe

REVEALED: UHURU KENYATTA and MUDAVADI met on SUNDAY in a SECRET MEETING at NYACHAE’s house

REVEALED: UHURU KENYATTA and MUDAVADI met on SUNDAY in a SECRET MEETING at NYACHAE’s house


With 10 days remaining to the historic general election, it has now been confirmed that Deputy Prime Ministers Uhuru Kenyatta and Musalia Mudavadi met on Sunday at the home of veteran politician Simeon Nyachae, for a possible pre-or post election deal.
The two also met last Thursday to explaore ways of Mudavadi supporting Uhuru before or after the March 4thgeneral election.
They met again on Monday this week at an exclusive hotel in Nairobi.
Mudavadi’s personal aide Kibisu Kabatesi confirmed this and said Mudavadi is being approached by other like-minded Presidential aspirants to see if they can form a unity government after the March 4th.
“There are a string of forces determined to get Mudavadi on either side of the two coalitions but he is in the race to the end,” Kabetesi said
Kabatesi accused ODM of spreading romours to project Mudavadi as Uhuru‘s stooge.
“ODM has been saying that a vote for Mudavadi is a vote for Uhuru, this is a propaganda they have been spreading,”Kabatesi said.

He said ODM leaders have panicked and they are looking for any means to poke holes to Mudavadi’s Presidential bid.

REVEALED: UHURU KENYATTA and MUDAVADI met on SUNDAY in a SECRET MEETING at NYACHAE’s house

REVEALED: UHURU KENYATTA and MUDAVADI met on SUNDAY in a SECRET MEETING at NYACHAE’s house


With 10 days remaining to the historic general election, it has now been confirmed that Deputy Prime Ministers Uhuru Kenyatta and Musalia Mudavadi met on Sunday at the home of veteran politician Simeon Nyachae, for a possible pre-or post election deal.
The two also met last Thursday to explaore ways of Mudavadi supporting Uhuru before or after the March 4thgeneral election.
They met again on Monday this week at an exclusive hotel in Nairobi.
Mudavadi’s personal aide Kibisu Kabatesi confirmed this and said Mudavadi is being approached by other like-minded Presidential aspirants to see if they can form a unity government after the March 4th.
“There are a string of forces determined to get Mudavadi on either side of the two coalitions but he is in the race to the end,” Kabetesi said
Kabatesi accused ODM of spreading romours to project Mudavadi as Uhuru‘s stooge.
“ODM has been saying that a vote for Mudavadi is a vote for Uhuru, this is a propaganda they have been spreading,”Kabatesi said.

He said ODM leaders have panicked and they are looking for any means to poke holes to Mudavadi’s Presidential bid.

Here is the TRUTH about UHURU KENYATTA and WILLIAM RUTO’s PRESIDENCY …….. Please READ THIS

Here is the TRUTH about UHURU KENYATTA and WILLIAM RUTO’s PRESIDENCY …….. Please READ THIS


By kenyaconfidentail

The polemics playing out over the consequences Kenya will suffer if The National Alliance (TNA) Uhuru Kenyatta and United Republican Party (URP) William Ruto are elected president and deputy on March 4, are clear evidence that Kenyan politicians and highly paid civil servants do not care about their country or its citizens should the international community choose to isolate the country and place sanctions over the International Criminal Court cases the two are facing.

The political rhetoric over the ICC issue is incredulously shocking. Kenya has unarguably extremely illiterate and irresponsible electorate blindly following political leadership grown and bred at the George Orwell’s University of the Animal Farm. These are men and women who selfishly think they are so important that they should have diplomatic passports, enjoy the VIP lounge at airports and get state funerals when they die. How did the distant Netherlands capital The Hague come to haunt Kenya and her politicians and for which the Kenyan tax payer has incurred billions of shillings?
The highly dramatized Presidential Debate sugar-coated the ICC issue to a point of giving Uhuru the opportunity to launder himself. No one mentioned the taboo word “consequences”. No one attempted to educate Kenyan voters of the dangers ahead if they elect Uhuru or the volatile Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) presidential candidate Raila Odinga, yet the ICC was not created by the Kenyan voters. The 2007-2008 post election violence was a real politically-instigated humanitarian tragedy and justice must be done.

Briefly, in January 2008 the ODM leader Raila called on his militant stone and missile throwing followers to reject the outcome of the 2007 presidential election in which it was announced he had lost to President Mwai Kibaki. His henchmen and power seekers, including Ruto mobilized militias in what Raila called mass action and the rest is recent history, which most voters have conveniently chosen to forget.

However, the highlights were the massacre of more than 1,500 innocent Kenyans. The official figure is put at 1,333 although many more died of injuries and harsh living conditions in IDP camps. Over 650,000 families (meaning over a million people) were displaced and rendered refugees in their own country and their lives shattered to date. Billions of shillings were lost in economic disruption and property destruction. The subsequent resettlement losses ran into excess of Ksh 20 billion that could have gone to hospitals, schools and agricultural needs.

The international community, especially the West and African eminent persons, led by former UN Secretary General Kofi Annan, now the subject of scorn and ridicule by Kenya politicians pursuing the presidency and other positions, moved in to avert a Rwanda-type genocide. Two judicial commissions were set up, one led by prominent Kenyan judge Philip Waki and the other by South African judge Johann Christiaan Kriegler. Their reports are changing the face of Kenya politics and governance. Read http://www.kas.de/we/doc/kas_16094-1522-2-30.pdf?090428104720.

Of interest was Waki’s report that included an envelope with a secret list of those who bore the greatest responsibility in the post election violence. Waki warned the Kenyan authorities that he would hand over the envelop to Kofi Annan, who in turn would give it to the ICC prosecutor Luis Moreno Ocambo if Kenya failed to establish a local tribunal to try the perpetrators of the bloody human carnage by July 2010. Ocambo would thereafter institute investigations with a view to charging those bearing the highest responsibility before The Hague-based ICC.

Waki had seen how Kenyans were brutalized, killed and rendered into IDPs in 1992, 1997 and 2002 and no action had been taken by their government to punish the offenders even after two inquiries – one by parliament led by Kiliku and the second one by justice Akiwumi. Throughout 2008, 2009 and part of 2010, Kenya politicians skirted around the ICC issue with some like Ruto saying it would take 20 years for the ICC to start the Kenyan cases.

The politicians, especially Members of Parliament, totally refused to appreciate, recognize and grasp the real consequences of the political and international dangers posed by The Hague process. When the question of establishing a local tribunal came up in parliament, the MPs, led by Ruto and Uhuru (as it emerged during the Presidential debate) were emphatic in their declaration –Don’t be Vague, let us go to Hague. Several MPs were paid millions of shillings to oppose the local tribunal by the same leaders crying wolf today. They told Annan to stop playing midwife to them and their country.

When the list of those bearing the highest responsibility for the 2007-2008 bloody mayhem was handed over to The Hague and six suspects were finally named, the same politicians who had been hurling insults at Annan turned their anger to the ICC andOcambo in particular. They also started cannibalizing each other in their ever-lasting blame game. The government was split in the middle with the Kibaki-led PNU squandering millions of shilling on international trips, led by vice president Musyoka Kalonzo, all the way to New York to plead with the Security Council to defer the case and Raila-led ODM pressing for The Hague trials.

Now, the Big Question is; if Members of Parliament, the elected representatives of the generally politically illiterate electorate, including the President, Vice President, the Prime Minister, two Deputy Prime Ministers, Attorney General, 42 ministers, 114 assistant ministers and 100 back benchers, could not realize, understand and comprehend, the full implications – consequences – of going to The Hague, (as explained by Martha Karua during the Presidential Debate), how can the general Kenyan electorate today, understand the consequences of electing Uhuru and Ruto to State House?

Conversely, if the same politically illiterate electorate has not realized how their government has wasted millions of shillings globe-trotting in futile efforts to undo The Hague and defer or refer the cases to ill-prepared Nairobi or Arusha, and looted billions of shillings in IDP resettlement, how can such voters foresee or appreciate the damage or consequences of international isolation and sanctions? Yet these are the same voters being told to decide whether Uhuru and Ruto should lead them. They are not being told it will be impossible for the two to govern the country from The Hague (Raila says through Skype and could have added the Facebook) where they could face jail terms of upwards of 30 years if found guilty.

In fact it is such long jail terms that the two indicted politicians are afraid of. The talk of “personal challenges” and willingness to co-operate with the ICC are political gimmicks to woo voters to elect them. Afterwards, they may very well defy appearance in The Hague and try to keep away like Sudan’s president Omar Bashir. In fact Uhuru says the man is still running his country despite ICC warrants on him.

The TNA candidate has amply demonstrated his inability to keep his promises given the recent debacle with United Democratic Forum (UDF) Party’s Musalia Mudavadi. Voters should know that only drug king-pins are known to run their businesses from the confines of prison walls through corruption. Uhuru and Ruto are not and will not be so important to the world that they will be accorded special treatment by the ICC.

Their luck, which could be a national disaster, is that a majority of Kenyan voters are incompetent, incapable and totally lacking in foresight of the consequences of their actions and choices during the elections. These are the same voters who faithfully voted for dictator Daniel arap Moi every five years for 24 years – even after multiparty arrived giving them the choice of progressive change.

These are the same voters who, as a ritual, vote in people who have enriched themselves by raiding public coffers and donor money through corruption. The cowboy contractors, the Mainas, and known thieves who have stashed money in foreign accounts in Jersey Island, the Okemos, among others, are living examples. Some cowboy contractors even built and furnished houses for some presidential candidates and their running mates. That is why they were not black-listed.

During the Moi era when Kenya suffered major decline in the development of health, education facilities, energy and roads expansion, majority of voters could not recognize that the economic slump due to financial mismanagement, corruption and bad governance was a consequence of their bad Nyayo “candidates” electoral choices. Many were duped by their incompetent leaders to believe that they were “marginalized by the government”.

The Luos were such victims and lagged behind in business and farming when the Odinga family flourished. Young Raila was driven to school in Volvos, Uhuru in Mercedes cars while those born poor trekked ten kilometers to school. The status quo still remains. Their children are driven to school in armoured Pajeros while the jigger-infested poor still walk through snake-prone pathways. Kenya continues to be a mam-eat-man society.

The majority poor are always fed on the rich diet of tribalism and ethnic politics while the families of individual politicians live lavishly and send their children to expensive private schools. During the Moi era, the children of the poor were bribed with so-called Nyayo milk stolen from farmers, who were not paid for their milk deliveries, climaxing on the theft of the entire Kenya Creameries Cooperative (KCC) factory and its assets. The same thing was done by the Jomo Kenyatta regime when it short-changed Mau Mau freedom fighters.

Besides politicians, some civil servants, many of who also enrich themselves with taxpayer’s largesse, are adding to the electorate ignorance over the possible electoral negative consequences by attacking the West for its timely warning. What business does the head of civil service one Francis Kimemia have in the ICC issue? Whether he supports US president Barrack Obama in his statement on the forthcoming Kenyan election and not Assistant Secretary of State Johnny Carson is his own business and he should not try to influence voters and appease the Kenyattas.

Carson was the US ambassador in Nairobi during the heady Moi era days when Kimemia was a junior civil servant who could not make head or tail of the deliberate hoodwinking of the Kenyan population by Moi sycophants through the pseudo peace, love and unity bogus Nyayo philosophy. The best he could do would be run around gathering women and school choirs to entertain Moi in his rural populist tours. He is probably as incapable as the Kenyan politicians to foresee the economicconsequences likely to befall Kenya with the election of Uhuru and Ruto.

Some free advice for Kimemia would be for him to talk his more knowledgeable predecessor Dr Richard Leaky, who Moi had begged to form the Dream Team in an effort to salvage Kenya from the consequences of bad governance Western-imposed economic stagnation. Moi was so frustrated with the West that he believed they considered him as a “monkey” as he told Leakey.

The negative consequences of the March 4 elections are not confined to the Jubilee Alliance alone. Kenyans must also weigh heavily and search their hearts if they should elect as President a man who on two occasions, probably more, has been directly implicated in acts which have claimed over 1,000 innocent Kenyan lives. The ODM presidential aspirant Raila publicly admits involvement in the failed 1982 military coup in which 1,500 Kenyans died and millions of shillings in economic damage visited upon the business community. He has no apologies for those who died, rape victims and economically devastated lives.

In 2008, he called for mass action that led to mass destruction of 1,500 of Kenyan lives and billions of shillings worth of economic losses in addition to creating thousands of internally displaced persons. Again he has no apologies. He has been the MP for insecurity-prone Kibera, where ethnic violence has been the way of life since 1992. His 2008 mass action saw people invade other people’s homes and take illegal and violent occupancy in Nairobi’s Kibera, Dandora among other estates. Some in Kibera took over the houses while others refused to pay rent to date.

Educated Luo lawyers and doctors, who for years had legally binding tenancy agreements for apartments owned by private investors (former State House comptroller Matere Keriri was a victim) in Kileleshwa, declared in December 2007 that the houses would be theirs come January 2008 when they expected Raila to be president. Their argument was that they had paid enough cash to meet whatever had been invested in the construction of the apartments.

How will the same people react to Raila’s victory on March 4, should he unfortunately win? Who will stop them from taking over the same houses, businesses and God knows what else? Who will stop those who have always fancied a skyscraper along the city streets from grabbing one in Raila's declared “Jubilee year of returning what was stolen”? What will be theconsequences of Raila victory? Read details in the next issue.

While the danger signals of electing Uhuru as president are flashing from the Western capitals and their embassies in Nairobi,Raila’s unsuitability was clearly demonstrated in west Kenya during the recent ODM nominations and his meetings in his own home Luoland. A few years ago no Luo would have opposed or defied Raila’s decision – even university professors. Today he is being disgraced in books and newspaper articles by fellow Luos as well as in social media.

Raila has lost his leadership lustre and mantle in his own Luo backyard. Last week a newspaper headline in a story by Samuel Otieno screamed: Raila takes cover as missiles fly in Migori CORD rally. Raila had to duck stones and shoes that were being hurled at the dais where he was seated trying to force the voters to elect candidates of his choice. His elder brother Oburu was rejected as Siaya County Governor as was his younger sister Ruth in Kisumu County. If his own Luos are fed up with his leadership, which sensible voter can elect him as President of Kenya?

Raila also received hostile reception with his running mate Kalonzo in Embu County where rowdy youths stoned the dais of a very poorly attended meeting. They say those who kill by the sword die by the swordRaila's mass action civic education in stone-throwing appears to have taken root in far flung locations from Nyanza.

For the skeptics and ethnic chauvinists, the possible consequences of Uhuru victory could mean, but not limited, to the following disruptive re-actions:

· Boycott of Kenya’s coffee, tea and horticultural produce whose volumes are bought mainly by European Union countries – shutting off the country’s main foreign exchange earnings.Consequence - thousands of jobs would be lost as would be billions of shillings in the badly needed foreign exchange.
· International freeze and suspension of financial support, including loans for vital projects by western countries and their institution like the World Bank. Consequence - several energy projects including exploitation of recently discovered oil and coal deposits would stall and many other projects would become white elephants like Moi’s.
· Western governments freeze of political leaders’ off-shore accounts. Consequence – evenUhuru’s millions of dollars in personal and company accounts would be affected.
· Closure of the inflow of western tourists the bulk of who sustain the country’s tourism industry, including Uhuru’s own hotels. Consequence - thousands of jobs would be lost.
· Boycott of Kenya’s mineral exports – including Kenyatta family’s Taita-Taveta gemstones exploits. Consequence – more jobs would be lost.
· Boycott of many other Kenyan export products. Consequence – thousands of families would suffer.
· Suspension of military equipment, training and defense co-operation when Al Shabaab is wreaking havoc and internal security is in shambles. Consequence – Kenya would suffer increased insecurity.
· Suspension of bilateral judicial, police and other democratic reforms support. Consequence - reforms hinged on the New Constitution implementation would be stalled.
. Suspension of western collaboration in social-cultural and educational exchanges.Consequence – research, educational, medical, technical and professional fields would suffer.
· Transfer of the international gem of United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) and Habitat headquarters elsewhere - most likely a European capital. Consequence – Kenya would lose the revenue UNEP earns Kenya in foreign revenue paid for staff endowments and conferences.
· Migration and relocation of European business operations to other African countries like Rwanda, Tanzania or Uganda. Consequence – business opportunities and more job losses.
· Travel ban on UhuruRuto and their cabinet secretaries and chief government officials.Consequence – Kenya will be viewed by the international community as a pariah state.

Kenyans have a clear choice of inflicting harm upon themselves and their country by electing Uhuru who is running away from justice or Raila, whose victory could wreak havoc upon the Kenyan nation. The balancing act is difficult and going by past experience in ethnic allegiance, a majority of the voters will leap before looking at where they will land. The only consolation would be that the consequential hardships the country will face could limit Uhuru and Raila term to five years only. There is also the option of the President being impeached but given the greed exhibited by elected leaders money could protect them.

Yet Kenyan voters also have the opportunity to elect a safe bet in the Amani (Peace) Coalition in the person of Uhuru’s age-mate Musalia Mudavadi or even younger Peter Kenneth of the Eagle Alliance. What special achievements can Uhuru orRaila accomplish that cannot be delivered by Mudavadi guided by the New Constitution and Vision 2030? Why gamble with Kenya’s future?

Key word: Consequences.

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